The world around us is complex and uncertain. Complexity arises from the
inherent non-linearity of phenomena and their interconnectivity.
The Center for Policy Exploration, Analysis and Simulation is specialized in
modelling complex issues and simulating it under uncertainty. This allows for
the exploration of a multitude of future and aid in the design of robust
Our aim is to use cutting edge tools to help make the world a better place. The "Man in the Arena" by Theodore Roosevelt is the closest to to manifesto that captures the sprit of the organization.
"It is not the critic who counts; not the man who points out how the strong man stumbles, or where the doer of deeds could have done them better. The credit belongs to the man who is actually in the arena, whose face is marred by dust and sweat and blood; who strives valiantly; who errs, who comes short again and again, because there is no effort without error and shortcoming; but who does actually strive to do the deeds; who knows great enthusiasms, the great devotions; who spends himself in a worthy cause; who at the best knows in the end the triumph of high achievement, and who at the worst, if he fails, at least fails while daring greatly, so that his place shall never be with those cold and timid souls who neither know victory nor defeat."
"Man in the Arena" is part of the "Citizenship In A Republic" Speech, delivered by Theodore Roosevelt at the Sorbonne (Paris) on 23 April 1910. The full speech can be found here.